OAB-SP: The Ibope survey went away from the polls voice



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The vote officially ended the vote count at the Sao Tome OAB presidency on the night of Friday to Friday (30/11). According to polls, Caio Augusto Silva dos Santos will head the section during the next triennium. Part of the surprise with the results is that a survey conducted by Ibope, commissioned by supporters of the situation and revealed by ConJur in the newspaper early October, announced the re-election of Marcos da Costa, in post for six years. According to Ibope, Marcos was an election favorite and would get 35% of the vote, while Caio Augusto would only have 4%, to a shy third place.

Real life did not agree with Ibope. Marcos da Costa had 43,176 votes, which corresponds to 24% of the electorate who voted. Leonardo Sica, who appeared with 3% of intentions, was third, with 29,486 (16.4%). Followed by Sergei Cobra with 14.2% and Antonio Ruiz Filho with 6.15%. The total of the blank and void votes reached 10%.

At the time of the search, Ibope did not indicate how many people had been heard, when or where. ConJur was questioned on Friday about the reasons for the incredible variation between the projection and the result of the polls, since in recent weeks, no new fact has occurred. has been recorded nor any extraordinary breaking news media emerging from the investigation. But it builds on the reputation that the Institute had so far. The company did not want to answer any questions.

For Marcos da Costa, the research portrays a moment. "I do not define the election, it was decided in the ballot box.It was a contested election and the poll had not been done at the time of the elections, but rather before. "Technically, the explanation is valid. The rate of deviation, no. Marcos da Costa also states that he has respected his opponents in the victories and that he will also respect the defeats. "The clbad chose Caio Augusto." I hope that he has a good administration because it will be beneficial for lawyers and for the entity. "

But Ibope must explain how a candidate with got the "good / good" rating of 55% and the 28% regulars can not. were elected. For a specialist heard by the site, a defeat would occur only if there was a slaughter. "It's almost impossible for people who have more than 80% positive feedback." Even with 60% positive ratings, the candidate would get at least 33% of the votes, according to the technician. "

If the poll influenced the result of the vote, it is difficult to quantify it, as it is difficult to say that Ibope actually depicted the

candidate Leonardo Sica was decisive in calling the search "misleading because it had been ordered before the time. In fact, she measured only the knowledge of the person's name, not the intention to vote. "Sergei Cobra and Antonio Ruiz Filho, in their press releases, said they did not express their views on the study.The report did not get in touch with Caio Augusto or with the

See notes below:

Sergei Cobra Arbex
I have fought the good fight, I have finished the race, I have not seen it! I have kept the faith! Thanks for the over 25,000 votes of lawyers and lawyers who voted for the 16th plate and for which I had the honor and joy of lead through the skill, courage and enthusiasm of the entire team! I made friends for life.Thank you, lawyer, to trust us and trust our project! with the grace of God Thank you, knowing well, for the partnership, and congratulations to the 11th plaque, which has won and we wish to succeed in management.

Antonio Ruiz Filho
Attorney Antonio Ruiz Filho will speak during the presidential elections of the OAB in an article that will be (f, b, e, v, n, t, s)
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