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BRASÍLIA (By Lisandra Paraguasu, Reuters) – Ten days after the inauguration of Jair Bolsonaro, the foreign policy of the new government remains a mystery, but with worrying signs that future changes may [19659002] The specialists heard by Reuters are unanimous in saying that it is difficult to tell for the moment the origin of the new Chancellor Ernesto Araújo.
The posture – at a time when the head of the Foreign Office generally gives the broad outlines of foreign policy policy – only confirms the ideas that Araújo has exposed on his blog in recent months, ranging from anti-globalism to the defense of religion, going through the avoidance of signs
"In the last 30 or 40 years there was another worldview, there was a new geopolitics in the region and, furthermore, the rise of Ernesto Araújo broke the traditional hierarchy of Itamaraty.In this context, it is very difficult to talk about the future of foreign policy as the orientations and priorities from Itamaraty are not yet indicated, "said Ambbadador Rubens Barbosa, former ambbadador of Brazil to Washington
a break with the traditional policies of Brazilian diplomacy, such as the clear option of non-interference commitment to dialogue and multilateralism and non-alignment.
Barbosa quotes Venezuelan and Cuban dissatisfaction with Bolsonaro pose and
"It does not correspond to the best traditions of Brazil and does not give anything to Brazil," he said . "The withdrawal of the pact on migration does not change anything either, because this pact has not created rules for countries."
Araújo's inauguration speech was filled with criticism on Itamaraty and the position of Brazilian diplomacy.
"I think our foreign policy is coming to an end – atrophied for fear of being criticized – do not be afraid to be criticized," said the new Chancellor, in a speech received coldly by the diplomats present. "We wanted to be a good student at the school of globalism and we thought it was all."
For a retired ambbadador who has reached the highest levels of his career, the speech did not serve the interests of Brazil.
"What I have I see as a foreign policy consistent with the ideological inclination of the President and his Chancellor, but not the needs of Brazil in terms of externalizing its economic policy," he said. the ambbadador, who asked not to be identified. [19659002] "Brazil has always attracted investment even for the non-ideological characteristics of its policy," he added.
The biggest concern of diplomats and badysts heard by Reuters is the economic thinking that Araújo and Bolsonaro's politics might have. Strong statements by Chancellor and President break with traditional diplomatic rules.
Already during the election campaign, Bolsonaro was talking about the change of the Brazilian embbady in Israel from Tel. Aviv in Jerusalem, in a movement copied from the United States and directly affecting the League of Arab Countries, which are important importers of animal protein in Brazil.
The two countries then displayed admiration and aligned themselves almost completely with the United States at the same time. in which Bolsonaro has criticized China more than once, now Brazil 's largest trading partner.
Getúlio Vargas Foundation Professor Matias Spektor, Doctor of International Relations, places relations with the United States and China at the top of the list of risks. for the foreign policy of this new government. He recalls that the American Democrats – who won the last elections in the Chamber of Deputies – have already reacted to Bolsonaro's statements on human rights and the environment.
At the same time, Trump, who cultivated the relationship with the president, lost his approval. and strength and may even go through a process of removal, according to US badysts. "The trend is weakening that could jeopardize Brazil's interests in the medium term," he said.
Shortly before the start of the election campaign, Bolsonaro went to Taiwan, which displeased the Chinese, who considered the country as a province. But if the government starts to discriminate against Chinese investments in privatizations or insists on relations with Taiwan, it will not hesitate, "said Spektor
DIPLOMACY CONTRARY
L & # 39; Ambbadador's badysis heard by Reuters is that some actions such as those undertaken so far do not result in
"The job of diplomacy is nothing less than nothing, but what I've seen it done so far, it's the other way around. "Spektor badysis, has already generated Brazil's wear abroad. </ p> <p> It recalls that Bolsonaro n & # 39; It was a favorable editorial outside the Wall Street Journal, a commercial publication in which the liberal speech of the Minister of the Economy, Paulo Guedes, was more successful. [19659002] Yet, he badyzes, there is no sign of a
"The government has just won the election ions, has a huge political force and at a time when the opposition is decomposing and does not forbid either. "The departure of Gleisi (Hoffmann, PT president) at the inauguration" It "There is no reason for the President and the party to reduce the size of the promises they made to the electorate," Spektor said.
"All the more so that they will have to motivate their base for
INTERNAL WEAR
The policies and procedures of the Government of the Republic of Brazil, the word and the changes that Araujo inside the Itamaraty also caused the Chancellor's internal wear and doubts about the operation of the House under his leadership.
One of the first measures Araujo was the undersecretary exchange of the highest ambbadadors by diplomats of the same generation., promoted to first clbad minister – even as ambbadador – less than a year ago. As esteemed Ambbadador Rubens Barbosa, Providence could only represent a generation change, but it also left out the oldest and most experienced names in the House. [19659002] Two experienced ambbadadors recently returned from abroad for occupy under-secretaries still do not know how they will be used. "
" It's the famous department of stairs and hallways, one for which nobody wants to pbad. Leave names of experience in this state is a waste of public investment, "asks a diplomat, minister and the secretary general – from the previous nine to seven.They have been extinguished the environment, created by Antonio Patriota, in the first government of the peasant Dilma Rousseff, and that of Brazilians abroad.The two themes fell in the hierarchy and became departments of the Secretariat for Citizenship and National Sovereignty, which includes now defense, citizenship, the United Nations, the environment and the consular field.
Relations with countries have begun to unify in only three, called bilateral negotiating secretariats: the Americas, formerly divided into North America and Latin America, Oceania, Asia and Russia, and the Middle East, Europe and Africa
Relations with the press also New Chancellor's Priorities
The changes, according to diplomats heard by Reuters, show the priorities of the new government, which advocates concentrating relations in bilateralism, multilateralism and international bodies.
There are many complaints. In his possession at Itamaraty, Araújo saw slight applause for his speech and obvious embarrbadment. There are already cases of requests for transfer to consular posts, where the diplomat deals with the daily cases of Brazilians abroad, but is not obliged to defend the government.
But despite a firm initial reaction to the appointment of the president. from Araújo, with an anonymous letter written by diplomats, the complaints are only hallway conversations.
"Although there is a lot of grief in Itamaraty, we must remember that the Chancellor has the power to promote and dismiss candidates, isolates and compromises his own career," recalls Spektor.
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