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The irregularity of the new Brazilian crop continues to worry producers, where losses are already consolidated and where they can be aggravated by climatic hazards. The worst situation is still observed in Paraná, but the Midwest and Matopiba regions are already beginning to register more and more serious concerns.
In Matopiba, farmers fear a summer period. In western Bahia, for example, the main state-producing region, rains continue to arrive poorly distributed, with limited volumes and lower productivity for soybeans.
Thus, the average of 63 bags per hectare recorded last year will not be reached this season, reported Monday the director of ABAPA (Association of Bahia Cotton Producers), Celito Breda, in an interview with Agricultural News. (7).
See also:
>> Spotted rains make productivity in the west of Bahia; Matopiba
This year, western Bahian planted soybeans 15 days earlier than the previous year and is the riskiest crop. It is in these properties that the last expressive rain occurred on December 8th.
Still according to Breda, if the rains come soon, the losses could be mitigated. However, taking 10 more days can draw a scenario similar to that observed in the state of Paraná. According to the Inmet (National Institute of Meteorology), forecasts for northeastern Brazil show that the National Institute of Meteorology of Brazil (INMET) rains may be larger, however, they still come under a poorly distributed form in the coming days. In the next 72 hours, the heaviest rainfall is expected to be concentrated in Tocantins, in the interior of Maranhão and Piauí.
Meanwhile, rainfall will be limited throughout the central region of Brazil, at least until January 23rd. In this scenario, Paraná and Mato Grosso do Sul should receive fewer volumes, with poor distribution for the next two weeks.
>> Paraná and southern Mato Grosso do Sul are expected to receive little rainfall and a very erratic distribution over the next 15 days.
The driest climate in central Brazil is also known Soybean in Goiás already has a lower production potential. In an interview with Agricultural News on Monday, Aprosoja GO President, Adriano Antônio Barzotto, said the institution is already expecting a crop 10% lower than the previous one because of the climate .
"We conducted a survey of states where we reported losses of 10 to 15 percent due to lack of precipitation.On last year, our productivity was 11.3 million tons and we expected that the 2018/20 harvest is very close to 12 million.With this survey, we estimate productivity at about 10.5 million tonnes, considering that the area sown increased by 3%, "he said . >> Aprosoja Goiás estimates productivity 10% lower than last harvest
As the situation of losses worsens, the institutions are already starting to reduce their estimates for the new crop of soy in Brazil. The Rabobank, which forecast a harvest of 123 million tons, has already reduced its number between 119 and 120 million.
"In the case of soybeans, we expected Brazil to reach a record crop given that Brazil had a good amount of rain in November and that planting had occurred in the best conditions, we estimated a crop of about 123 million tonnes, and according to the information we had in December, we are seeing a deterioration in crop conditions in Brazil, particularly in Paraná and Mato Grosso doo. Sul, and conditions slightly worse than those of last year, "says the grain badyst. of the bank, Vitor Ikeda
Aprosoja Brasil already estimates the Brazilian production for 2018/19 between 110 and 115 million tons.
And read also:
>> Soybean losses worsen in Paraná, see photos and videos
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