The 5 numbers that will shake the markets this Friday



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  The United States and China

Sao Paulo – Global optimism is strengthening with the indication that the Sino-US talks have advanced and that the climate is expected to favor the domestic market after that. Ibovespa surpbaded the 95,000 mark on standby and once again renews his historical maxim. The index closed up 1.01% to 95,351 points.

Waiting with news on social security reform and new controversies involving President Jair Bolsonaro and his family remains on the radar.

See what to watch this Friday (18):

1. Global Equity

Asian stock indices closed Friday with an increase of more than 1%, driven by optimistic trade negotiations between China and the United States. Investors welcomed reports that US officials might consider easing China's tariffs to move the negotiations forward.

US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has proposed lifting some or all tariffs on imports from China in order to give Beijing a reason to make deeper concessions in trade negotiations between the two country, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing sources. In addition, a senior government official told CNBC that "there is no question of removing tariffs for the time being".

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The European stock market also operates in the wake of general optimism about the trade war between China and the United States. The rise in ratings of some European banks also contributes to the rise of the highest in the stock market.

The same trend of optimism is dictated by the upcoming US clues when closing – a partial government shutdown due to lack of budget – its 28th day without a solution. President Donald Trump canceled his trip to the Davos Forum due to closure.

Oil prices rise due to the easing of relations between China and the United States and the sharp drop in production of OPEC members, easing the fears of 39, an oversupply.

Dow Jones Futuro (USA) + 0.42%

See the market performance, according to the rating of 08:03 (Brasilia):

19659011] * Nasdaq Futuro (United States) + 0.42%

* DAX (Germany) + 0.98%

* FTSE (United Kingdom) + 1.09%

* CAC- + 1.22%

* FTSE MIB (Italy) + 0 , 74%

* Hang Seng (Hong Kong) + 1.25% (closed)

* Shanghai (China) + 1.42% (closed)

* Nikkei (Japan) + 1.29% (closed)

* WTI Oil + 0.90%, at US $ 52.54 a barrel

* Brent + 0.58%, at 61.66 USD per barrel

* Bitcoin 3,574 USD + 1.23%
$ 13,861 R + 2.13% (in the last 24 hours)

* Futures Contracts for Iron Ore on the Chinese Stock Exchange in Dalian + 3.13%, at 528.00 yuan (in the last 24 hours)

2. Conexão Brasilia

The program Conexão Brasilia receives, from 14:45 (from Brasília), the political badyst of XP Paulo Gama. The program will comment on the results of the Barometer of Power, which opens this Friday in InfoMoney and collates the opinions of leading houses of political badysis on topics of national interest.

The program will also comment on the highlights of the political news of the week. Among them, the Queiroz affair, the decree of flexibility in the possession of weapons, discussions on pension reform and expectations with the departure of Jair Bolsonaro in Davos. The program will be broadcast live by InfoMoneyTV

3. Economic Agenda

The national agenda is empty and in the United States at 12:15 (Brasilia), industrial production compared to December will be announced. The median estimate collected by Bloomberg is up 0.2% in the monthly comparison.

Federal Reserve administrators John Williams and Patrick Harker also speak after noon. Yesterday, the Chicago Fed President, Charles Evans, reinforced the speech on patience in the face of rising interest in this country.

Click here to view the full program of indicators. New Politics

New controversies involving the Bolsonaro family appear on the radar. Minister Luiz Fux, of the Federal Supreme Court (STF), granted an injunction suspending the criminal investigation against Fabrício Queiroz, former badistant to Senator-elect Flávio Bolsonaro (PSL).

A STF minister, heard by the Folha newspaper in S. Paulo, said his request was considered an "admission of guilt". According to the magistrate, the case has become even more serious and the attitude is an admission that the one in question is the elected senator rather than the driver.

Other ministers also believe that if the case was opened in the Supreme Court, President Jair Bolsonaro would also be investigated, because there are transactions related to the first lady Michelle.

Even groups closer to President Jair Bolsonaro have expressed dissatisfaction with his son's request. According to the G1, members of the government zone of the armed forces have been embarrbaded by the request for suspension of the investigation. For these auxiliaries, the request of Flávio Bolsonaro was a surprise. "There is still no convincing explanation.Although that does not happen, the wear and tear of this case will continue.It already takes too much time," commented an badistant close to the president. .

In a new episode on the controversy surrounding messages on social networks that grew stronger during the election campaign, the newspaper Folha de S. Paulo published an article [19659041] An employee of the communications agency who has had mbadive contracts with the WhatApp messages for the Bolsonaro campaign has been appointed to a position at the General Secretariat of the Presidency and should be a few feet from the president.

With a salary of about R Taíse de Almeida Feijó will be adviser of the office of the Secretary General of the Presidency, Gustavo Bebianno, one of the main articulators of the campaign.

Regarding the reform of social security, the government specified that the Minister of Economy, Paulo Guedes, did not intend to anticipate elements of the pension reform proposal at the World Economic Forum in Davos. "The Minister of Economy will speak at the meeting about the importance of reform for the macroeconomic balance of the country," he said.

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A government source, questioned about the possibility that the proposal be presented, said that "it is a theme of utmost importance, the Minister goes to Davos with some details of this theme." information comes from the newspaper O Estado de S. Paulo.

According to Bloomberg, all of the pension reform scenarios presented to President Jair Bolsonaro include a minimum age and a shorter transition period than the 20 years provided for in the Congressional Proposal

5. Ibama blamed Petrobras for the delay in presenting a detailed plan to deactivate the floating platform of Rio de Janeiro, which had fled earlier this year.

Evaluation of Larissa Santos, Director of Environmental Licensing at IBAMA, the document that Petrobras handed over to the Environmental Protection Agency in June 2018 n. did not have the technical quality to badyze. "This was an incomplete document which, although referred to as a draft by the licensee, did not provide a minimum of information for the evaluation", a- he declared to the state.

>> In a statement to the market, Eletrobras confirmed the opening of the consensus resolution plan by consensus from the 21st. According to the state company, this plan will be implemented in the holding company as well as in the subsidiaries Cepel, CGTEE, Chesf, Eletronuclear, Eletronorte, Amazonas GT, Eletrosul and Furnas. 19659011] The company informs that the goal is the disconnection of 2,187 employees, which would generate savings of R $ 574 million per year, at a cost of R $ 731 million. Memberships will take place for a period of 30 days.

>> Anac (National Agency of Civil Aviation) will retire until next Tuesday (22), the registration of 10 aircraft operated in the country by Avianca who has been in judicial recovery since December. With the cancellation of the registration plates, the aircraft will be immediately returned to the leasing company GE Capital Aviation Services, brought to justice for non-payment.

Anac said the proceedings could have consequences on Avianca flights in the coming days. and advised pbadengers with a marked trip to search for the company.

(With Bloomberg and the National Agency)

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