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Vladimir Putin has been in power for 18 years. No other G20 summit representative has comparable experience. Not the same cynicism or the same ability to provoke and control conflict, nor cruelty when it comes to exterminating opponents, nor the brutality of war. Saudi Prince Mohamed Bin Salman is an apprentice. Putin, who seems to have reached a new stage in his strategy of devouring Ukraine, now puts his talents at stake at the meeting in Buenos Aires: he binds sanctions to his regime to protectionism, greets with effusive Bin Salman (his enemy Syria) and shrugs off the new crisis between Moscow and Kiev. The G20 summit, which began last Thursday and is marked by the trade war between the United States and China and the differences over climate change, is in danger of failure. It is the atmosphere of tension in which Putin feels at ease.
The photo of the Group of 20 with which the Argentine meeting began shows Prince Bin Salman relegated to the background along with the President of the Inter-American Development Bank. ) and the Australian and Italian prime ministers. It is his responsibility to exercise the function of rejection. The US-backed war against Yemen and the murder in Istanbul of troubled journalist Jamal Khashoggi (whom the United States regards as a minor problem) have made him an outcast in the international community. Trump protects him, but prefers not to show off with him in a friendly attitude. In this same group photo, Putin poses impbadive.
Prince Salman received no more hugs than those of the Argentinian President, Mauricio Macri, and so thank you, as well as those of Putin, his enemy at the table of Syria (if that's what we call this mbadacre) and his occasional ally on the energetic ground. Frenchman Emmanuel Macron exchanged a few words with the Saudi prince "on oil", according to the Elysee. In fact, it was a tense dialogue, full of misunderstandings ("you do not listen to me when I speak", "I am a man of my word") and without a smile. British Prime Minister Theresa May met last night with the strong man of the Riyadh regime. According to a London spokesman, May expressed the need to end the war in Yemen (a big deal for European arms manufacturers, with the exception of Germans) and to "take action "so that" such an unfortunate incident "as long as the brutal killing of Khashoggi will not happen again.
Donald Trump is, of course, at the center of the most serious conflicts. It's inevitable. He is the president of the United States and that is Donald Trump. When he boarded the Air Force One to Buenos Aires, Trump sent a tweet to announce that he had canceled his meeting with Putin. The motive, apparently, was the Russian attack against Ukrainian army ships and the kidnapping of his crew. But there is a lot more between Trump and Putin. He continues to advance the investigation into the possible complicity of the Kremlin with the election campaign of the current US President. And Trump, who in his friend-foe game with Moscow, uses instruments as dangerous as nuclear arsenals (he has withdrawn from disarmament) and prefers not to show much in the company of the Russian president.
Trump also plays one of the potentially conflicting roles. deadly for this meeting: his trade war with China, which has already slowed global economic growth. But as evidence that these so-called egalitarian meetings are the usual meetings, the trade issue will be resolved – positively, negatively or regularly – with the official statement already issued, Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping will meet for dinner (except unforeseen events) on Saturday night and decide for themselves. Donald Tusk, President of the European Council and representing a third of the world economy, proclaimed Thursday that the European Union (EU) promotes free and fair trade. Her voice was overshadowed by the friction between the two hyperpowers.
Trump does not want to hear about climate change, just in this dispute. Even Xi joined, at least verbally, those who deem it necessary to act urgently against global warming. President Macron seeks to fight climate against Trump
What can you expect from Saturday's plenary and the final declaration? The Washington and Beijing technicians strive to reach a minimum of consensus outside the official program. The Argentine hostess does not have the moral power to promote agreements, its tariff system being one of the most impenetrable in the world. And Putin cynically brandishes free trade as an argument to disqualify the economic sanctions with which the US and the EU are pressuring him to stop seizing Ukrainian territory: Sanctions, he says, are protectionist maneuvers. To know if the commercial war will continue to intensify or if there will be a truce, it will be necessary to wait for the night of this Saturday and very late. On climate, there will be vague words – if it is possible to find words vague enough not to irritate Trump. The smallest agreements (promises to developing countries, renewal of the IMF quota system, reflections on the future of work, etc.) could become the most relevant in Buenos Aires.
Temer thinks the Bolsonaro government will stay in place. in the Paris Agreement
By Agência Brasil
President Michel Temer reaffirmed Saturday in Buenos Aires, at the G20 summit, the commitment of Brazil in the Paris agreement, claiming that his successor, Jair Bolsonaro, will not break that understanding. "I do not see that they will not benefit from the support of the new government [as questões climáticas e ambientais]," he said at the end of the G20 summit.
Temer also announced that French President Emannuel would take the position of the president. Macron, questioning Bolsonaro's commitment in the Paris agreement, was not discussed at the G20 meeting. "Only the French president spoke of this [fora da reunião] establishing a link with the possible agreements [do Mercosul] with the European Union, but there is no word on this subject," he said. he declared. During talks, French President Emmanuel Macron subordinated the advance of the agreement between the European Union and Mercosur in support of the Brazilian government to the Paris agreement on the climate.
. Bolsonaro responded that he would not conclude international agreements in the field of the environment, which would be detrimental to the agri-food industry. However, he felt that the situation was not definitive.
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