The left is likely to talk to each other

Journalist Ricardo Cappelli refers to Vietnamese warlords, McNamara and Ho Chi Minh, to explain the danger that the Brazilian left speaks to itself in the days of Jair Bolsonaro.

2019: THE RISK OF THE "LEFT" MCNAMARA "

Ricardo Cappelli *

" The human thing to do is to think that your enemy thinks like you. There is an apocryphal story that McNamara wanted to know what Ho Chi Minh was thinking, he was interviewing himself. "

" This then becomes a problem because you are trying to send rational messages based on your notion of rationality, but that have nothing to do with the definition of the rationality of the concept. other side. So, what is irrational for us is totally rational for the other side. "

These words come from James Willbanks, an adviser to the US military, on the problems the United States faced during the Vietnam War and the limitations of the thinking of the time." Secretary of Defense, Robert McNamara

The election of Bolsonaro is a break with the system of symbols, codes and values ​​that has prevailed in politics in recent decades … it was the defeat of the "politically correct" His attitudes, which seem outrageous, are naturally consumed by his constituents. "Ho Chi Minh and McNamara" live in distinct rationalities.

The captain breaks with coalition presidentialism so criticized by the "left to the right". smell of root. "This also marks the end of the macroeconomic tripod created by FHC and maintained by Lula and Dilma.

Paulo Guedes argues for the privatization of health and education and distributi From the poor to the excluded, will the poorest find it hard to charge middle-clbad tuition fees for expensive courses and occupy the most controversial places in federal universities?

The tsar of the economy also says that he will end the businessman's wallet, with royalties and subsidies. He says that the Brazilian businessman becomes annuitant, that if he wants to earn money, he will have to start again. Critique the account with the interest of the debt.

According to the future minister, Brazil pays "the absurdity of 100 billion dollars, a Marshall Plan, a reconstruction of Europe a year". He then goes to the headquarters of Firjan and announces that it will remove up to 50% of the billionaires of Sistema S.

Bolsonaro says that it is "very difficult" to be a boss in Brazil. What do small and microentrepreneurs think? The country has about 7.7 million MEIs, individual microentrepreneurs. Of course, the mask of unemployment and underemployment and precariousness in labor relations is a good part

Suppose that about 5 million people are actually involved in small individual businesses. Do they aspire to grow? Hire employees? The speech of Bolsonaro before this audience is that of a madman?

In the context of state reduction, the repertoire is vast. He says that he will end up with EBC for example because he can not spend a billion a year for a program that no one sees. Do you watch something on Brazilian TV or any other EBC vehicle? Do people watch?

The elected president advances on controversial topics such as the revision of the Raposa Indian Reserve Serra do Sol.The military, who are familiar with the area, live by repeating that the Indian requires education, health, the Internet and not isolation almost synonymous with forgetfulness.

Critics of international NGOs infesting the Amazon – many of whom are accused of biopiracy – have everything to create a direct link with the Indians.

There is a maxim in the story. Unoccupied land is lost. Raposa Serra do Sol is a region rich in niobium, gold, diamond and other precious minerals. Bolsonaro talked about paying royalties to the Indians. Will the Indians be against or support?

In the field of reforms, what will be the position of the progressives? How to solve the problem of the growing deficit of public pensions? Are you going to face the societies of a few privileged people who drain a large part of the resources? Is it only in denial?

It is too early to say what is a speech and what will be put into practice by the new government. Some of the announced measures present contradictions with the sectors and interests that financed the victory.

Nevertheless, some progressive economists believe that we can have a long period of interest and low inflation, thus promoting the recovery of credit and consumption, the generation of jobs and an increase of about 3%.

If the desired apocalyptic disaster does not come and keeps the sectarian discourse, the hysterical denial of everything, the risk that the left speaks only to 20% of the electorate is immense. You can end up like McNamara.