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It is time to tell the truth to Jair Bolsonaro, who will be able to demonstrate on Tuesday if he has as much capacity to govern Brazil as to launch electoral attacks against political corruption, left-wing parties and " 'gender ideology'. [19659002] The old 63-year-old army arrives with legitimacy resulting from a clear victory at the polls and a political scene devastated by years of corruption, economic crisis and rising scandals. criminality.
The Presidential Social Liberal Party (PSL), which has only 52 seats out of 513, will be the second largest party in the House of Representatives.
The left is divided and the center-right parties reduced to inexpressive forces. deputies sprayed.
To ensure governability, he must maintain the convergence of transparent lobbies that have provided him with fundamental support in the campaign: the great agricultural producers, the ultraconservative neo-Pentecostal churches and the advocates of gun flexibility. the support of the business community, seduced by its promises of tax cuts and privatizations.
– Electoral Rhetoric –
The announced task was complex. The pension reform, considered essential by its economic team, meets resistance among its own allies. And the rapprochement with Israel is viewed with suspicion by meat exporters who fear trade reprisals from Arab countries.
Since the elections, Bolsonaro has had to withdraw or suspend some of its promises without giving any indication of where they would start.
"We are on the eve of the inauguration of the elected president and we still do not know what the government will be," said Rogério Bastos Arantes, professor of political science at the University of São Paulo (USP).
One of its few Brazil's withdrawal from the United Nations Global Compact for Migration was a concrete announcement. Another measure is the end of medical cooperation with Cuba.
These measures satisfy the electorate, mobilized by a strong campaign of rupture with the universalist ideas and inheritance of the PT, which ruled from 2003 to 2016.
But Bolsonaro remains as he l & # 39; Promised on 10 December, the president of the 210 million Brazilians (…) announced no sign of his intention, regardless of origin, race, bad, color or color. religion. "
Bastos Arantes claims that if these signs take too much time, Brazil can sink into a" crisis of governability. "
" Bolsonaro must tell society what he plans to do, not only negatively, "says the political scientist."
– "The People's Power" –
In his speech to the STF, Bolsonaro spoke of the possibility of upsetting the system. "The October elections revealed a reality different from that of the past: the people's power no longer needs intermediation and new technologies have allowed a direct relationship between the voter and his constituents. representatives, "he said.
For Bastos Arantes, "the stimulus of belligerency may continue … because there are constitutional mechanisms that can be used to support the president by referendum"
"There is a still very open scenario, with the risk to invest in an internal enemy, which could also be external, "he continues, noting that Bol the sonuno, diplomatically aligned with the American Donald Trump, multiplies hostile statements to the vanquished socialist regime of Venezuela [19659003"Inventinganexternalenemytosupportoneselfisawell-knownformula"-
Bolsonaro, nostalgic of the military dictatorship (1964-1985), formed a team of 22 ministers, including 7 retired soldiers. The Ministry of the Economy has entrusted the ultra-liberal Paulo Guedes, that of foreign relations to a diplomat convinced that Trump can "save the West" and that of women, family and human rights the man to an evangelical shepherd.
A judge symbol of the fight against corruption, Sérgio Moro, emblematic figure of the operation Lava Jato, who led dozens of politicians in prison, including the former president of the left , Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva.
of his original plan for this disparate team, most without political experience, for the first 100 days.
The text establishes four stages for 10, 30, 60 and 90 days with the identification and transmission of priority proposals as well as for the possible revocation of decrees and laws in force.
Finally, it provides for "a ceremony commemorating 100 days of government on April 11".
The world will then perhaps have an idea of what Brazil is Bolsonaro.
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